Nine Shift

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Breaking news.  A new Facebook Page devoted to parents and boys has just started this week, with over 400 engagements already.
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NineShift 2019 Predictions. #1 Some 100,000 More Young Men Will Die This Year

Some 100,000 more young men will die this year than usual. The cause: college denied. 

The death toll is staggering.  The Center for Disease Control (CDC) says the number is so huge that life expectancy is now going down in the U.S.

The extra 100,000 deaths last year, and now this year, is more than the death total in World War I.   It will be 4 times more than the death total in the Vietnam War.

The CDC says the reason for the increase in suicides, drug overdose and cirrhosis of the liver is "despair." 
Other surveys show that the despair is from a lack of access to a college degree and the resulting lack of employment opportunities.  

The CDC confirms that the death toll is twice as high among high school grads than college grads.  Every year 2.4 million smart, let me repeat Smart, males are denied entrance to college.  That's hitting around 17 million now.  Others get admitted, then colleges deny them graduation.

K-12 schools and colleges refuse to admit smart males based on what they know, have learned, and their test scores.  Smart males denied college test at the same or even higher level than college students.  Schools and colleges insist on grading based on gender-based characteristics and behavior totally unrelated to knowledge and workforce performance. 

Society is already suffering the consequences: lack of a skilled work force, not enough STEM workers, reliance on foreign boys with college, and the costs of the discrimination in violation of Title IX.   No end in sight, either, as the Department of Education predicts males will actually decrease as a percentage of college grads well into the future. 

Stop the deaths. Stop the sex discrimination. Admit smart boys into college, then graduate them.

NineShift 2019 Predictions. #2 Feminists Fiddle While Gender Pay Gap Narrows

Gen Y women, and men, are actively working to narrow the gender pay gap.  Good news: the gender pay gap is narrowing.

Meanwhile, older feminists (both women and men who subscribe to the awful third wave belief system that 'boys should be raised like girls' and women somehow have superior traits than men) are fiddling with every slight and perceived offense other than the real issue: gender pay.

Julie Coates has correctly identified gender pay as the central issue, and all the others will be resolved when gender pay is equal for the same work. 

The biggest diversion: STEM.  We easily predict this will be the 40th straight year when young women choose NOT to go into practicing STEM professions.   But there's other diversions daily occupying feminist outrage, from women voting for men to ads to women in name-the-profession.  

The only other helpful change, again being made largely by Gen Y, is electing more women to office.  According to Swedish leaders, the country where the pay gap is narrowed the most, having more female elected officials does help.   Gen Y women also have a whole different view of feminism and tend to be less anti-male than older feminists. 

Good news, the gender pay gap will continue to narrow despite the feminist diversions.  

Image: We've still got 95% of 2019 to go! 

 

NineShift 2019 Predictions. #3 America Still Clueless on Infrastructure

It's getting  late folks. 2020 is coming in a few months.  And yet America is still clueless about what kind of infrastructure the country needs to position itself for prosperity in this century.

The big one is transportation, where the U.S. is more than a decade behind the rest of the advanced world. Our leaders, business and government, still don't understand that trains have to, and will, replace cars as the primary mode of transportation.

Trains and light rail will make more progress this year.  But without any funding or overall plan. In fact, any transportation "fix" right now would involve pavement and death and pollution and lost time and take us backwards.  Thank goodness there's no financing of infrastructure right now. 

Train ridership, routes and success will continue to grow this year.  

Photo: I was in NYC two weeks ago visiting CUNY, which is located just 2 blocks from the beautiful Grand Central Terminal, where I took this photo. 

 

NineShift 2019 Predictions. #4 Mental Health Crisis Continues

The current mental health crisis continues this year.

Young men (see our #1 prediction above) are particularly hit hard by the despair (Center for Disease Control word describing the situation) of depression, anxiety and panic.  But young women, and older adults are also being affected. 

Gen Y has more panic, depression and anxiety than any other generation in history.  The issue for those smart young people denied college won't go away soon.  And so while economic well being starts to return to better days in 2020 after the recession, the lingering effects of the mental health crisis going on now will not dissipate soon.  

NineShift 2019 Predictions. #5 Democracy is Saved

The year 2019 will be the turning or tipping point where democracy in America is saved.

America will still fall behind Europe in positioning itself for prosperity in the 21st century. 
The United States will still be in decline, relinquishing its role as THE superpower in the world and becoming just another superpower. 

But still, Republican nominated judges, Robert Mueller, the legislative branch, media, big business, small business and just plain ol citizens appear to have the upper hand over the recent tilt towards authoritarianism and minority (white male) rule.  Yeah you.  Yeah us. 

Photo: the way forward. Walking trail in the snow on public land next to our cabin up north last month.

NineShift 2019 Predictions. #6 Gen Y Revolt

Gen Y will have one more play; they will change one more thing for the good of the 21st century.  

Their modus operandi is online, so that is the likely organizing and force they will use.  The issue: no idea. 

There's plenty of things Gen Y wants and needs to change of course, from student debt to free college to environment to net neutrality to low income urban housing to.......   Let's see. 

Photo: the annual Gen Y pub crawl at the LERN Annual Conference this year.  

NineShift 2019 Predictions: #7 Recession Will Happen

The 100 Year Parallel continues. We will have a recession.

And for the same reasons.  In 1919-1920 we had a deep but relatively short 18 month recession because the government (President a Democrat) financially shot itself in the foot, causing the recession. 

Today we predict a recession for the very same reasons:  the government will cause it.   Things will also get better economically for most people in society after the recession. This includes a wage increase for more Americans, just like wages increased in the 1920s.  

University of Missouri Does Another Violation of Title IX

A new University of Missouri initiative to help black female students in STEM intentionally excludes black male students, another violation of Title IX.

Black male students are the most disadvantaged minority in higher education, constituting only around 1.6% of graduates; far fewer than black female students.  At the same time, black male students are even more interested in STEM than black female students, according to National Science Foundation statistics which MU actually cites. 

And yet, of course, the University ignores black male students - - again in violation of Title IX - - and is seeking only to serve black female students.  NineShift's Julie Coates filed a letter of objection with MU officials, who not surprisingly have not responded. Coates also has done a whole lot of research on why black male students are even more discriminated against than black female students. Let's not help black males graduate. Because, well, they're guys.  

Photo: We're in Puerto Rico for awhile now. Puerto Rico seems like the real melting pot in terms of racial integration. Black, white, brown, all in the same family, or at the same table, or at the same beach.