PEOPLE ARE EXHAUSTED BY CHANGE
That exhaustion is visible politically, but the causes lie in the societal changes that lead to political instability. We predict the political polarization will decline significantly beginning around 2020, just like it did 100 years ago. The chart below shows political polarization in the U.S., with the higher lines indicating greater polarization between the two major parties. Notice how in 1920 the extreme political polarization, the greatest in the last century, falls in 1920, when both parties recognized the reality of the new Industrial Age of the 20th Century.
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